Item Drop Statistics

Drunken_F00l · Posted: Sun May 31, 2009 4:20 pm Post subject: Item Drop Statistics

Edit: Unstickying this thread since it's now old and not updated.

I've been able to compile some statistics about item drops over the last day. I'll be updating these graphs as more data comes in.

This is my favorite and by far the most useful Rolling Eyes

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Unsinge · Newbie Joined: May 30, 2009 Posts: 4

Awesome! You must have like 1,000,000,000 monkeys working for you! Very Happy

Is there a way that you can tell which accounts are getting certain items? Right now, the graphs aggregate the overall 'founds', and give % chances. But those chances assume that everyone has the same chance.

I'm wondering if you can break it down a bit by player id and find out if there are improbablilities at the player level. Because we've seen people with 3+ hats, and others with none. If this is just two ends of the distribution - that's understandable; but only if there aren't some odd things at the player level.

For example, I have found 97 items: No hats, and mostly sandvichs, bonk, natasha, kritz and blut. I don't know why, but I only really find the same things. If those items are more common for everyone, then fine, but the graphs you have thus far say that my findings should be trending toward uniform item %'s, and they are not.

ichibo · Newbie Joined: May 31, 2009 Posts: 3

At least now I know my 350 hours logged with no hats isn't that terrible.

emjay · Member Joined: May 30, 2009 Posts: 16

Not to nitpick, but some information on the sample size would be extremely helpful Smile

getthere1tme · Dedicated Member Joined: Jun 01, 2008 Posts: 160

Considering his program has thousands logged in at any given time I'd say the sample size is reasonable enough. 1/227 to get a hat. lol Bumpy should go play the lottery.

Drunken_F00l · Posted: Sun May 31, 2009 8:37 pm Post subject:

Dumby got all his items when Steam was going crazy giving two out at a time.

SilverFox · Dedicated Member Joined: May 10, 2008 Posts: 211

lol, that is pretty awesome and for the most part, pretty much the same all around, except for hats.

Thanks for sharing!

Teraku · Newbie Joined: May 29, 2009 Posts: 4

TheDopp · Posted: Mon Jun 01, 2009 6:57 am Post subject:

If you're tracking it, would you mind also posting:
* Average time connected per user
* Average time to drop
* Average time to drop per item
* Average dupe rate per user

Unsinge · Newbie Joined: May 30, 2009 Posts: 4

For what it is worth, here is a graph of my found items (I've excluded any achieved items.). As you can see, Sandman isn't happening, while it is more common item overall.

-LMA- · Posted: Mon Jun 01, 2009 10:57 am Post subject:

I'm sure we all knew the hats were more rare but still, bumpy is insanely lucky, especially with statistics like those.
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blarky · Member Joined: Apr 01, 2009 Posts: 14

Great info. Still haven't gotten any hats here.

beNschI · Member Joined: May 30, 2009 Posts: 36

i think i recived now 25 KGB or something like that

DarkCheerio · Newbie Joined: Jun 03, 2009 Posts: 2

I got a hat a few days ago and noticed something interesting about it.

blarky · Member Joined: Apr 01, 2009 Posts: 14